Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.021879 0.023502 0.025192 0.027085 0.029148 0.031331 0.033818
2024-11-03 0.019184 0.021522 0.024084 0.027108 0.030591 0.034489 0.039199
2024-11-10 0.017556 0.020350 0.023533 0.027446 0.032150 0.037656 0.044632
2024-11-17 0.016009 0.019041 0.022602 0.027122 0.032750 0.039580 0.048581
2024-11-24 0.014877 0.018085 0.021953 0.027000 0.033477 0.041594 0.052670
2024-12-01 0.013826 0.017124 0.021191 0.026628 0.033793 0.043028 0.056028
2024-12-08 0.013111 0.016521 0.020812 0.026682 0.034609 0.045103 0.060319
2024-12-15 0.012323 0.015763 0.020173 0.026324 0.034817 0.046332 0.063482
2024-12-22 0.011561 0.014990 0.019457 0.025801 0.034737 0.047121 0.066025
2024-12-29 0.010983 0.014425 0.018979 0.025559 0.035009 0.048386 0.069307
2025-01-05 0.010455 0.013895 0.018516 0.025299 0.035220 0.049550 0.072483
2025-01-12 0.009871 0.013259 0.017868 0.024733 0.034938 0.049951 0.074484
2025-01-19 0.009584 0.013027 0.017778 0.024971 0.035865 0.052223 0.079605
2025-01-26 0.009244 0.012703 0.017542 0.024976 0.036432 0.053972 0.084008
2025-02-02 0.009019 0.012531 0.017510 0.025280 0.037465 0.056496 0.089859
2025-02-09 0.008639 0.012116 0.017103 0.024985 0.037536 0.057478 0.093157
2025-02-16 0.008337 0.011801 0.016826 0.024874 0.037884 0.058918 0.097335
2025-02-23 0.007995 0.011411 0.016420 0.024537 0.037840 0.059693 0.100373
2025-03-02 0.007773 0.011194 0.016264 0.024585 0.038426 0.061552 0.105499
2025-03-09 0.007473 0.010845 0.015890 0.024260 0.038366 0.062291 0.108591
2025-03-16 0.007154 0.010454 0.015436 0.023785 0.038023 0.062508 0.110698
2025-03-23 0.006913 0.010176 0.015147 0.023565 0.038102 0.063469 0.114297
2025-03-30 0.006681 0.009904 0.014856 0.023329 0.038137 0.064344 0.117781